Market Watch: 8.20.03Each Wednesday, we monitor tradesports.com to see what degenerate gamblers think about upcoming elections. Last week's numbers in parentheses. Bold marks major movements. If you don't understand these numbers you can think of them percents (i.e. bettors think that Cruz Bustamente has a 31.0-34.5 percent chance of winning). stock:high bid-low ask Gray Davis to survive September: 88-94 (78-96) survive December: 17-24 (20-23) survive March: 14-19 (15-19) Most votes in recall election Cruz Bustamente 31.0-34.5 (19.1-22.0) Arianna Huffington 0-0.5 (0.1-0.5) Tom McClintock 0.6-2.0 (1.0-3.0) Arnold Schwarzenegger 47.0-49.0 (56.0-58.0) Bill Simon 1.7-2.3 (3.7-5.0) Peter Ueberroth 0.2-2.0 (1.0-3.0) FIELD 13.8-15.9 (0.3-3.0) RECALL FAILS (17.5-20.0) Democratic primary Hillary Clinton 6-9 (8-9) Dean 25-29 (27-31) Edwards 4-5 (4-6) Gephardt 5-7 (6-7) Kerry 28-32 (29-31) Lieberman 14-16 (12-13) FIELD 10-14 (9-11) Bush reelection 65-67 (65-68) Bush wins Massachusetts 22-27 (22-27) Electoral votes if every state result was rightly predicted: Bush 397, Democrat 141, Dem. states CA 55, CT 7, HI 4, MD 10, MA 12, NJ 15, NY 31, RI 4, VT 3 (Last week same) |
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